纽约 美东 盘前 04:00–09:30 04:00–09:30

TALK

窗口信号数方向胜率超额胜率平均超额
日152 45% 45% -0.40%
日152 43% 39% -1.48%
日119 31% 31% -7.02%

高光 5 单

翻车 5 单

信号明细（152 条）

日期标的方向入场价 1日超额5日超额20日超额原话
2026-08-29 $RPD 多 13.29 +1.58% -17.34% — 6.5% - $RPD @ $12.04（新）
2026-08-29 $MITK 多 18.85 -1.77% -1.59% — 8.1% - $MITK @ $13.28 + $12.5C Nov '26 @ $3.70 + $20C May '27 @ $4.10
2026-08-29 $SILC 多 42.20 +2.31% -3.26% — 3.5% - $SILC @ $45.55
2026-08-29 $DT 多 53.67 +2.01% -3.41% — 5.9% - $DT @ $49.94
2026-08-29 $AVPT 多 14.00 -0.27% -4.18% — 5.2% - $AVPT @ $13.38（新）
2026-08-29 $NBIS 多 209.18 -1.07% +8.12% — 5.4% - $NBIS* @ $23.92
2026-08-29 $QLYS 多 187.05 -0.19% -8.34% — 6.9% - $QLYS @ $181.12（新）
2026-08-29 $VIAV 多 36.54 -0.39% -4.71% — 5.8% - VIAV* @ $14.63
2026-08-29 $OSS 多 10.41 +0.40% -4.34% — 3.8% - $OSS* @ $4.71
2026-08-29 $VPG 多 62.55 -0.88% +0.63% — 1.9% - $VPG* @ $53.16 + $50C 2026年
2026-08-29 $BDC 多 115.21 -0.35% +6.03% — 1.0% - $BDC @ $125.85
2026-08-29 $AMPL 多 14.30 -1.10% -9.06% — 9.7% - $AMPL @ $9.00 + $9C Oct '26 @ $1.40
2026-08-27 $BDC 多 119.95 -3.70% -1.13% — If $BDC can recapture the daily 200sma & 21ema overhead, then it will be upsized
2026-08-27 $AVPT 多 14.30 -1.39% -5.37% — I also added $AVPT @ $13.38 - 5.4% weighting
2026-08-27 $RPD 多 13.50 -0.20% -15.31% — $RPD @ $12.04 - 6.4% weighting
2026-08-27 $QLYS 多 188.59 -1.03% -7.82% — $QLYS @ $181.12 - 6.9% weighting
2026-08-27 $DT 多 53.43 +1.15% -1.52% — Upsized $DT, new adds @ $52.21 avg. increases overall cost basis to $50.77 (from
2026-08-27 $CRWD 多 227.96 -4.76% -5.97% — Monster reports from $OKTA and $CRWD likely bring cybersecurity back into leader
2026-08-27 $OKTA 多 172.91 -0.77% -1.71% — Monster reports from $OKTA and $CRWD likely bring cybersecurity back into leader
2026-08-26 $LEU 多 187.63 +3.16% -8.48% — $LEU recapturing all moving averages on the monthly chart today. Continued defen
2026-08-25 $NVDA 空 213.05 +1.61% -2.60% — It would take an *insane* beat from NVDA to revive sentiment. I'm not writing it
2026-08-22 $MITK 多 18.56 -3.50% +0.59% — I'm going to begin *SLOWLY* (operative word) adding / accumulating the May 21 20
2026-08-21 $INOD 多 64.21 -10.73% -11.34% — $INOD recapturing daily 21ema here and securing 50week sma~
2026-08-20 $DT 多 49.18 -0.17% +7.53% — Software is acting fine/showing relative strength (MITK DT INOD AMPL)
2026-08-20 $INOD 多 62.79 +1.85% -6.78% — Software is acting fine/showing relative strength (MITK DT INOD AMPL)
2026-08-20 $MITK 多 18.52 -0.19% +2.61% — Software is acting fine/showing relative strength (MITK DT INOD AMPL)
2026-08-20 $AMPL 多 12.93 +2.38% +9.33% — Software is acting fine/showing relative strength (MITK DT INOD AMPL)
2026-08-14 $DT 多 49.14 -2.64% +1.69% — Dynatrace is still a target for upsize, however I'd like some consolidation to b
2026-08-14 $SILC 多 49.50 -1.24% -9.86% — 3.6% weighting @ $45.55
2026-08-14 $INOD 多 63.85 +1.18% +1.93% — 3.5% weighting @ $62.35
2026-08-14 $GFS 多 54.58 -1.62% -10.60% — I've taken a *small, speculative position* (0.9% weighting) in $55 calls for Oct
2026-08-12 $DT 多 49.56 +1.70% +0.52% — If $DT can settle and consolidate a bit here, and allow the 9&21 daily EMAs to c
2026-08-12 $AKAM 多 122.78 +1.35% -7.65% — If it reclaims the 21ema just slightly overhead, I will upsize it with shares.
2026-08-11 $DT 多 50.57 -1.48% -5.81% +0.36% If $DT can settle and consolidate a bit here, and allow the 9&21 daily EMAs to c
2026-08-11 $AKAM 多 117.65 -0.51% +4.57% -9.32% If it reclaims the 21ema just slightly overhead, I will upsize it with shares.
2026-08-11 $AMPL 多 12.19 +4.42% +3.49% +3.62% Great follow-thru for $AMPL. Those $9 calls, if you followed me, are up +150%.
2026-08-11 $NVT 多 162.33 +3.29% +9.21% +1.06% This is a stock I've watched rip in my face quarter after quarter for over a yea
2026-08-07 $SYNA 多 106.19 -1.36% +1.90% -6.38% this was one of my highest conviction thesis of the year (along with Synaptics)
2026-08-07 $FIVN 多 33.99 +1.47% -3.31% -1.72% Quick comment on Five9 since I'm getting so many tags: Yes, this was one of my h
2026-08-07 $MITK 多 18.49 +0.35% +4.69% +0.83% Upsized $MITK here with $17.5C Jan 2027 @ $3.57 avg, raised weighting to 7.3%
2026-08-07 $MITK 多 18.49 +0.35% +4.69% +0.83% First glance from my end I like both $MITK and $AKAM earnings, but waiting for e
2026-08-07 $AKAM 多 110.54 +6.46% +12.67% -4.42% First glance from my end I like both $MITK and $AKAM earnings, but waiting for e
2026-08-07 $AMPL 多 10.77 +3.94% +22.28% +25.21% $AMPL glad we re-entered this one before the earnings. I thought the report was
2026-08-07 $FSLR 多 244.14 +1.81% -9.59% -15.64% Today's candle breaking thru that overhead 50sma resistance. Still holding full
2026-08-06 $LEU 多 178.03 +6.88% +6.53% -4.85% great report from $LEU this morning btw, massive top & bottom line beat.
2026-08-04 $SHLS 多 9.22 -5.66% -5.21% -26.09% very solid report from $SHLS on the surface, top & bottom line beat.
2026-08-04 $NVT 多 159.41 -0.03% -0.20% -6.67% OPEN $NVT SHARES @ $158.38 AND $NVT $170C 20 NOV '26 @ $18.18 AVG. -- 5% TOTAL W
2026-08-03 $AMPL 多 9.52 +1.98% +26.02% +46.87% I've re-entered $AMPL (original thesis from 7/9 here: https://discord.com/channe
2026-07-31 $FSLR 多 211.03 +8.86% +14.98% -6.18% Revenue came in line, but massive beat for $FSLR on EPS $3.92 vs. $2.83, thats a
2026-07-31 $AKAM 多 113.75 +0.54% +0.60% -6.17% Added *very small size, starter* for upcoming earnings $AKAM $115C Sep 15 @ $11.
2026-07-31 $FPS 多 33.28 -0.75% +9.72% -8.95% and it seems to have formed a pretty defined bottom in the 26-29 area. I think t
2026-07-31 $BDC 多 117.11 +5.21% +6.69% -1.54% I think $BDC report was excellent. In this report I was looking for proof of syn
2026-07-29 $AMKR 空 45.69 +4.94% -18.17% -3.21% 今晚我会更详细地过一遍 $AMKR 的财报电话会议和报告，明天会根据前瞻指引提供更多看法。报告不错，但算不上“很棒”。
2026-07-28 $CTS 多 64.82 -3.54% -0.35% -15.92% Nice headline numbers from $CTS, top & bottom line beat and top & bottom line gu
2026-07-28 $AMKR 多 45.69 -4.94% +18.17% +3.21% I think these $AMKR earnings are solid. I would have ideally liked a more aggres
2026-07-25 $TE 多 4.90 -15.55% -1.70% -15.14% CLOSED POSITIONS ARCHIVE PG. 2 (*NOT* CURRENTLY HELD, THESIS STILL INTACT) ⏎ ⏎ T
2026-07-25 $ARKK 空 71.89 -0.87% +2.00% -16.29% $ARKK $70P Sep 18 @ $3.45 avg 0.9% weighting
2026-07-24 $AMKR 多 64.96 -6.56% -24.33% -26.25% The fact that the market faded this is wild to me. Zero appetite for hardware ri
2026-07-23 $TENB 多 31.62 +1.89% +2.47% +4.57% keeping the remainder of $TENB as I still view cybersecurity as the one "saving
2026-07-23 $MITK 多 15.91 +5.93% +6.82% +13.10% I am keeping $MITK in full size thru earnings
2026-07-23 $NOW 空 91.94 -7.34% -19.24% -37.82% I think the inability for the ServiceNow $NOW report to produce a bounce in soft
2026-07-23 $SPY 空 738.18 +0.00% +0.00% +0.00% Additional **HEDGE** 0.8% size $SPY $725P Aug 31 @ $10.79 avg.~
2026-07-23 $IGV 空 89.02 +0.92% -6.16% -12.59% For those wondering why software is getting hit so hard today, $IGV (software in
2026-07-22 $TENB 多 34.09 -3.58% -6.99% +4.04% Keeping full size on $TENB shares @ $28.53 avg
2026-07-21 $OSS 多 13.92 -6.42% -14.60% -11.47% $NBIS $OSS $VIAV $AMKR all recapturing 21-week EMAs today (obviously, a lot of w
2026-07-21 $AMKR 多 66.73 +0.48% -30.54% -20.38% $NBIS $OSS $VIAV $AMKR all recapturing 21-week EMAs today (obviously, a lot of w
2026-07-21 $VIAV 多 43.02 -1.67% -17.42% -6.40% $NBIS $OSS $VIAV $AMKR all recapturing 21-week EMAs today (obviously, a lot of w
2026-07-21 $NBIS 多 216.92 +0.69% -20.78% +11.96% $NBIS $OSS $VIAV $AMKR all recapturing 21-week EMAs today (obviously, a lot of w
2026-07-18 $QQQ 空 695.33 -0.27% +1.01% -0.69% Open $QQQ $680P Aug 07 **hedge** @ $12.04 0.9% weighting
2026-07-16 $SHLS 多 10.53 -1.24% -4.45% -26.35% $SHLS has caught a serious bid, +22% in the past two sessions.
2026-07-16 $TAN 多 54.18 +0.47% -0.78% -6.77% $TAN (solar ETF) quietly starting to show some signs of life. To be clear, there
2026-07-15 $SMH 空 590.77 +3.16% -0.33% +3.35% $SMH selling off on a strong $ASML print shows that market is not thru digesting
2026-07-14 $IGV 空 93.63 +0.07% +1.46% -8.50% Expect weakness in $IGV today, but also, this will be a *literacy test* for mark
2026-07-14 $TENB 多 42.65 -6.16% -19.60% -13.77% $TENB & $MITK both flipping green here with $IGV still red, exactly what I was r
2026-07-14 $MITK 多 19.46 -1.06% -4.77% -7.32% $TENB & $MITK both flipping green here with $IGV still red, exactly what I was r
2026-07-14 $OSS 多 13.57 -2.98% +3.05% -8.76% Clear Street 分析师 Brian Dobson 开始覆盖 One Stop Systems（$OSS），给予“买入”评级，目标价 20 美元。
2026-07-14 $FSLR 多 220.58 +1.07% -6.11% +6.73% Barclays 分析师 Christine Cho 将 First Solar（$FSLR）的目标价从 213 美元上调至 279 美元，并维持“增持/跑赢大
2026-07-14 $SHLS 多 10.76 +6.48% -3.06% -21.36% Jefferies 分析师 Julien Dumoulin-Smith 将 Shoals Technologies Group（$SHLS）的目标价从 10 美
2026-07-13 $DT 多 44.59 +0.65% +1.21% +10.23% The bull case is based on the idea that it has a chance to become an enterprise
2026-07-11 $DT 多 43.68 +2.85% +3.22% +9.69% 0.9% - $DT (新仓) $42.5C 2026年8月 @ $3.80
2026-07-11 $FIVN 多 25.42 +2.30% +2.17% +31.29% common stock is up +25%
2026-07-10 $DT 多 45.23 -3.86% -0.75% +5.81% Filled $DT $42.5C @ $3.80 and $45C @ $3.50 Aug 21 expiration. 1% total weighting
2026-07-09 $NTAP 多 171.21 -1.80% -6.60% +9.60% Filled $NTAP 1% size $165C Sep 18 (earnings lotto, earnings 9/2) @ $13.14 avg
2026-07-09 $AMPL 多 9.38 -2.56% +3.01% +12.58% Amplitude is a compelling AI-era software asset, because it owns a valuable laye
2026-07-09 $FSLR 多 228.50 -0.72% -7.12% +4.60% As I've been discussing over the past several weeks, I believe there is currentl
2026-07-06 $AMPL 多 8.91 +3.28% +5.33% +6.00% $AMPL (NEW) @ $7.89
2026-07-06 $FSLR 多 233.06 -1.82% -4.88% -0.99% $FSLR (NEW) @ $236.16
2026-07-02 $SHLS 多 10.12 -1.55% -1.19% -11.51% $SHLS successfully repairing daily structure today, recapturing all relevant mov
2026-07-02 $CXDO 多 8.03 -4.97% -2.29% -14.65% $CXDO quietly recapturing the 9&21EMAs today, 50SMA overhead at $8.21
2026-07-02 $CHKP 多 134.29 +1.84% +2.08% -3.97% Filled $CHKP 1% size $140C Aug 21 (earnings lotto, earnings late July/early Augu
2026-07-02 $FSLR 多 232.08 -3.10% -2.34% -10.69% Filled $FSLR all shares @ $236.16 avg. 3.9% weighting to expand solar exposure i
2026-07-02 $NTAP 多 155.91 -1.28% +9.02% +12.14% Filled $NTAP 1% size $165C Sep 18 (earnings lotto, earnings 9/2)
2026-07-01 $AMPL 多 8.55 +3.52% +8.91% +1.25% I was only able to fill a 4.3% position @ $7.89 avg.
2026-07-01 $TENB 多 37.90 +1.98% +8.36% -13.57% Opened shares @ $28.53 and a small position in the Sept $30 call @ $3.00. 5.4% w
2026-07-01 $QCOM 多 181.92 -2.99% +4.25% -16.12% Just a lotto position for us at less than 1% weighting ... No structural breakdo
2026-07-01 $ADEA 多 31.99 -8.79% -8.66% -20.20% clean 3-month consolidation in progress as the monthly moving averages catch up
2026-07-01 $CXDO 多 8.03 -4.97% -2.29% -14.65% Defended the 9&21-month EMAs perfectly at the lows. Fully intact here.
2026-07-01 $FIVN 多 23.24 +0.99% +6.47% +19.56% $FIVN closed the month $21.32 above the 9-month EMA ($21.08) which is *exactly*
2026-07-01 $VIAV 多 47.07 -11.36% -9.70% -24.99% $VIAV soft pullback last 2 months after a parabolic move from $10 - $60 ... Tota
2026-07-01 $CTS 多 63.83 -5.09% -5.29% -1.22% $CTS continues to truck its way up to a test of the dotcom bubble highs at $72.
2026-07-01 $BDC 多 116.86 -1.11% -8.39% +0.76% Monthly chart looks destined to be headed back to the highs.
2026-07-01 $FPS 多 49.90 -5.96% -8.31% -32.76% A name I'd like to add to on a more meaningful pullback
2026-07-01 $MITK 多 20.14 -4.49% -4.27% -14.70% If stock continues to trend higher, break over $23+ (2021 & all-time highs), mov
2026-07-01 $ENS 多 220.46 -6.12% -7.23% -15.65% perhaps our most "stress free" pick ever. Doesn't really participate in the corr
2026-07-01 $CRNC 多 11.53 -6.98% -10.08% -27.55% wonderful consolidation over the past year and a half and first monthly candle i
2026-07-01 $AMKR 多 79.99 -12.80% -10.59% -39.12% Now over the dotcom bubble highs confidently and has strongly defending that $60
2026-07-01 $CCXI 多 17.06 +12.09% -5.66% -17.39% Parabolic monthly candle +70%. No moving average structure here yet, so difficul
2026-07-01 $SHLS 多 10.12 -1.55% -1.19% -11.51% But pay attention to the structure, which is still very much intact. Looks prime
2026-07-01 $NBIS 多 229.18 -5.79% -6.46% -17.24% Needs rest IMO, but considering it is far-and-away the highest quality neocloud,
2026-07-01 $TE 多 9.18 -6.62% -21.71% -52.94% T1 ENERGY $TE THESIS ... Simply speaking, T1 Energy makes solar modules (and eve
2026-07-01 $VPG 多 144.01 -15.44% -21.99% -38.40% $VPG has lead the robotics trade, and is now almost a 3x on *common shares* sinc
2026-06-30 $TENB 多 36.88 +2.90% +7.37% -12.32% Opened shares @ $28.53
2026-06-29 $TENB 多 33.49 +9.34% +20.38% -6.31% Opened shares @ $28.53
2026-06-27 $CCXI 多 13.86 +16.68% +21.18% -2.40% 3.4%: $CCXI @ $11.93 **(NEW)**
2026-06-27 $QCOM 多 189.39 -2.00% -4.59% -11.60% **EARNINGS LOTTO** OPEN $QCOM $200C Aug 21 0.8% weighting @ $21.95 avg.
2026-06-27 $GDYN 多 5.47 -2.20% +5.17% +11.05% I will revisit $GDYN prior to earnings at the end of July. Not sure why this one
2026-06-26 $SHLS 多 9.00 +1.57% +14.50% +2.89% Not sure what's going on with $SHLS here, but I am holding / staying in. It's pu
2026-06-26 $CRNC 多 10.61 +0.61% +0.43% -23.25% $CRNC nice action today recapturing 50sma and 200sma
2026-06-26 $TENB 多 30.22 +9.17% +33.57% +5.96% Opened shares @ $28.53 and a small position in the Sept $30 call @ $3.00. 5.4% w
2026-06-26 $MITK 多 19.29 -0.09% -0.05% -13.21% $MITK making new 52-wk highs, breaking $18. Preference for software over hardwar
2026-06-26 $FIVN 多 21.32 -1.74% +9.98% +18.46% Don't jinx it, but $FIVN attempting to recapture the 200sma today.
2026-06-26 $SYNA 多 121.00 -4.64% -0.40% -5.17% Yet another acquisition at a premium that we were on well before the crowd... Pa
2026-06-26 $ADEA 多 30.32 +2.17% -5.34% -15.21% I've spent most of this morning trying to qualify if Adeia's $ADEA IP portfolio
2026-06-25 $AMCR 多 42.86 +1.12% +3.57% +3.29% 组合以长期核心持仓（VIAV、AMCR、OSS、ENS 等）为主，故事仍在、结构完好则继续持有
2026-06-25 $VIAV 多 50.44 -4.85% -18.83% -22.28% 组合以长期核心持仓（VIAV、AMCR、OSS、ENS 等）为主，故事仍在、结构完好则继续持有
2026-06-25 $ENS 多 226.34 -1.24% -10.11% -16.35% 组合以长期核心持仓（VIAV、AMCR、OSS、ENS 等）为主，故事仍在、结构完好则继续持有
2026-06-25 $OSS 多 16.20 +0.97% -4.58% -23.53% 组合以长期核心持仓（VIAV、AMCR、OSS、ENS 等）为主，故事仍在、结构完好则继续持有
2026-06-25 $MITK 多 17.38 +1.41% +14.17% -9.13% $MITK has held up very well. Added $MITK $12.5C (deep ITM) for Jan 2027 @ $6.27
2026-06-25 $ADEA 多 30.00 +0.92% +4.91% -11.15% Added $ADEA shares to lower cost basis to $29.74, raises weighting to 5.8%
2026-06-23 $FIVN 多 18.82 +2.73% +13.63% +33.54% Yes -- for all the people that keep tagging & DMing me, I am *still holding*. Tr
2026-06-19 $GDYN 多 5.66 -2.87% -0.98% +1.86% $GDYN @ $6.34
2026-06-19 $CTS 多 66.96 +2.27% -0.55% -10.97% $CTS @ $51.26 + $50C Oct '26 @ $6.28
2026-06-19 $VPG 多 141.34 +0.02% -7.19% -26.83% $VPG* @ $53.16 + $50C Nov '26 @ $9.20
2026-06-19 $VIAV 多 47.17 +12.55% +3.35% -15.79% VIAV* @ $14.63
2026-06-19 $OSS 多 18.44 -1.04% -9.55% -32.35% $OSS* @ $4.71
2026-06-19 $SYNA 多 140.89 +2.37% -11.74% -18.75% $SYNA* @ $86.14 + $85C Sep '26 @ $9.90
2026-06-19 $NBIS 多 286.69 -0.76% -13.80% -35.68% $NBIS* @ $23.92
2026-06-19 $FIVN 多 19.40 -2.65% +12.30% +33.13% I am aware that the price-action has been annoying on $FIVN, but I am staying in
2026-06-19 $SHLS 多 10.42 +5.31% -11.25% -7.05% $SHLS +11% for us today, recapturing the 9&21EMAs on the daily
2026-06-19 $LEU 多 191.39 -3.71% -11.14% -17.66% I mentioned on our stream this week that $LEU had a chance into the end of this
2026-06-19 $BDC 多 123.26 -0.99% -0.66% -18.64% Our recent upsize on $BDC from 2 weeks ago ... The $120C we bought are now in th
2026-06-19 $CRNC 多 10.77 -1.64% +0.89% -19.53% Upsized $CRNC with additional shares, raises cost basis to $10.09 and raises wei
2026-06-19 $MITK 多 17.26 +0.60% +14.14% +8.97% Upsized $MITK with $17.5C January 2027 @ $3.55 avg. , raises weighting to 5.4%
2026-06-16 $OSS 多 18.04 +2.02% -8.42% -32.42% $OSS (entered @ $4.71) ... nearly **quadrupled** from our entries
2026-06-16 $AMKR 多 86.55 +1.11% -2.10% -27.24% $AMKR (entered @ $24.35) ... nearly **quadrupled** from our entries
2026-06-12 $TE 多 8.50 +3.18% +22.00% -20.89% Added $TE @ $7.87 avg. 6% weighting, all shares (IV on the calls is too high, an
2026-06-12 $GDYN 多 6.43 -2.25% -13.19% -9.63% Added $GDYN shares at $6.34 avg. 2.5% weighting same as the rest of the adds tod
2026-06-11 $CRNC 多 10.80 -2.21% -1.49% -6.08% Added $CRNC at $9.98 avg. 2.5% weight
2026-06-11 $CXDO 多 7.35 -2.04% -5.16% +10.15% and added shares on $CXDO @ $6.93 avg. -- 2.5% weighting for each
2026-06-11 $SHLS 多 9.89 +4.92% +4.14% -6.50% Added shares on $SHLS @ $9.41 avg. ... -- 2.5% weighting for each
2026-06-11 $ARKK 空 75.46 +0.29% -5.05% -2.14% $ARKK $70P expiring next week June 18 @ $0.83 avg. 1% weighting
2026-06-11 $FIVN 多 20.83 +1.38% -8.11% +22.36% Added $FIVN shares @ $20.48 avg.